Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.812640 0.950730 1.105004 1.290136 1.506307 1.750811 2.048479
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.625855 0.818798 1.059265 1.381033 1.800625 2.329735 3.048648
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.510446 0.723262 1.010008 1.424739 2.009918 2.807383 3.979340
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.424254 0.641338 0.952941 1.433002 2.155130 3.203203 4.844804
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.356943 0.570551 0.894342 1.421099 2.258416 3.541466 5.664676
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.306635 0.515175 0.847046 1.413856 2.360349 3.882723 6.528786
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.270787 0.476095 0.817642 1.427446 2.492537 4.283094 7.537937
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.230876 0.423343 0.756931 1.377479 2.507335 4.486019 8.235115
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.219734 0.419070 0.778078 1.472069 2.785767 5.176115 9.884498
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.191298 0.378596 0.728326 1.429290 2.805690 5.401957 10.706410
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.166435 0.341156 0.678765 1.379054 2.802730 5.581451 11.459064
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.146086 0.309632 0.636128 1.335886 2.806374 5.771404 12.254021
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.134347 0.294552 0.625111 1.357418 2.948736 6.264810 13.761759
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.130353 0.295431 0.647231 1.452290 3.260070 7.150708 16.239999
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.122411 0.286419 0.646971 1.498202 3.470968 7.850439 18.409825
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.112471 0.271362 0.631270 1.506889 3.598782 8.383445 20.275787
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.102234 0.254058 0.608001 1.494371 3.674816 8.807432 21.943508
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.093485 0.239060 0.588025 1.486755 3.761147 9.266017 23.760024
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.086964 0.228646 0.577592 1.501046 3.903174 9.876424 26.042647
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.077507 0.209350 0.542704 1.448501 3.868476 10.046042 27.218333
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.076647 0.212546 0.565072 1.547971 4.243280 11.302089 31.442949
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.069011 0.196333 0.534937 1.502985 4.225723 11.536089 32.931123
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.061860 0.180436 0.503541 1.450157 4.179293 11.686996 34.210924